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An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances

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Price, in a letter to John Canton, M. Reymers, Bayes, communicated by Mr. Price, in a letter to John Canton, A.
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Bayes' Theorem

An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances
An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances
An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances
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Law and rule in the Essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances

An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances is a work on the mathematical theory of probability by Thomas Bayes, published in ,[1] two years after its author's death, and containing multiple amendments and additions due to his friend Richard Price. The title comes from the contemporary use of the phrase "doctrine of chances" to mean the theory of probability, which had been introduced via the title of a book by Abraham de Moivre. The essay includes theorems of conditional probability which form the basis of what is now called Bayes's Theorem, together with a detailed treatment of the problem of setting a prior probability. Bayes supposed a sequence of independent experiments, each having as its outcome either success or failure, the probability of success being some number p between 0 and 1. But then he supposed p to be an uncertain quantity, whose probability of being in any interval between 0 and 1 is the length of the interval.
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An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances

By the late Rev. Bayes, communicated by Mr. Price, in a letter to John Canton, M. Dear Sir, I now send you an essay which I have found among the papers of our deceased friend Mr.
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An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances is a work on the mathematical theory of probability by Thomas Bayes , published in , [1] two years after its author's death, and containing multiple amendments and additions due to his friend Richard Price. The title comes from the contemporary use of the phrase "doctrine of chances" to mean the theory of probability, which had been introduced via the title of a book by Abraham de Moivre. The essay includes theorems of conditional probability which form the basis of what is now called Bayes's Theorem , together with a detailed treatment of the problem of setting a prior probability.
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